Well, Billmon has done the unthinkable. After a year of silence and a year of half-hearted pontification, he has opened up a comment thread for your bets and mine on the outcome of the Plame grand jury investigation. It was opened at twenty to four this afternoon; by 11:45, it had reached 311 comments.
Everyone (other than the A-listers) are placing their bets. The prize is, of course, laughable. It's all about prestige: being right about the indictments might edge out the prestige factor of being early on Billmon's only commentary post, but we'll see.
I suspect that many of the commentors are betting there simply to encourage Billmon to open up more threads, but the sheer quantity of commentors will probably have the opposite effect; in the long run, I suspect Billmon doesn't really have the temperament to manage a community, so perhaps the top-down approach will work better for him. Intervening here and then on the spin-off sites should protect his private time while maintaining his authority. I don't begrudge him any of that self-protection. I just want, selfishly, to keep reading his stuff.